Conference Celebrating the 25th Anniversary of the Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association
NISA 25th Anniversary Conference: 1991 – 2016
Witness to CHANGE
Intelligence analysis in a changing environment
On Friday 28 and Saturday 29 October 2016 the Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association (NISA) celebrates its 25th anniversary with an inspiring two-day conference. The main theme will be the significantly changed environment of the intelligence analyst during the past 25 years. Please look for the details on the NISA website: http://www.nisa-intelligence.nl.
Detailed Programme
DAY 1 - 28 October, 2016
(Presentation titles subject to change)
8:00 REGISTRATION
8:45 Michael Kowalski
25 years of NISA - Reflection on a Changing World
9:25 Stephen Marrin
Intelligence Studies, Intelligence Analysis, and Intelligence Practice
10:05 Gregory Treverton
Wicked Problems
10:45 BREAK
CLUSTER 1: HISTORICAL RESEARCH & FUTURE PERSPECTIVE
11:15 General Onno Eichelsheim: A future perspective of Intelligence in the Netherlands
11:50 Sir David Omand: A Comparison between the Nicoll and Iraqi Reports
12:25 Shlomo Shpiro: The Devil's Advocate
13:00 LUNCH
CLUSTER 2: THE INTERSECTION BETWEEN COLLECTION AND PROCESSING
14:00 David Moore: Sense Making
14:35 Wilhelm Agrell: Crimea and Uncertainty
15:10 Paul Abels: Beschaffung und Auswertung.
The Sense or Nonsense of a Wall between Collection and Processing
15:50 CLUSTER 3: WORKING GROUP - METHODS
Cliff Lansley: To Lie or not to Lie; Criminal Behavior - more sessions to come -
Thomas Ormerod: Finding a Needle in a Haystack
17:00 BREAK
DEBATE SESSION
17:15 Rob Bertholee and Michael Chertoff: Intelligence liaison and the role of Small States
18:15 Michael Kowalski: Closing Remarks Day 1
18:25 End of DAY 1
DAY 2 - 29 October, 2016
(Presentation titles subject to change)
8:15 Conference Room open
8:40 Michael Kowalski: Opening Remarks Day 2
CLUSTER 4: METHODS & TECHNIQUES
8:45 Sergei Boeke: Research Methodology: Risk Analysis & Threat Analysis, the Case of Mali/Niger
9:20 Giliam de Valk: Towards the Methodology of not to Miss a Threat (the Rumsfeld Matrix)
9:55 JISTARC: System Dynamics in Operations
10:35 BREAK
CLUSTER 5: INTELLIGENCE IN CONTEXT
11:05 Michael Fredholm: Politicisation and Briefing the Policy Maker
11:40 Veli-Pekka Kivimäki: Research OSINT
12:15 FIU : Using Bitcoins
12:55 LUNCH
CLUSTER 6: INTELLIGENCE ETHICS AND DILEMMAS
13:55 Miroslav Tudjman: The Croation Intelligence Analyst and the planning of Operation Storm
14:30 Richard Aldrich: Assassination Plots and UK Premiers
15:05 Wilma van Dijk: Analysis & Collaboration in Security
15:45 CLUSTER 7: “ENTER THE MATRIX": A COLLABORATIVE ACH MASTERCLASS
The aim of the masterclass is to put Heuer's Analysis of Competing Hypotheses into practice.
You will get an impression of the use, and the advantages and disadvantages, of this analytic
technique.
As a participant you will generate hypotheses, and you will be presented with various pieces of
intelligence from different (types of) sources. You will then evaluate these pieces of
intelligence in relation with the hypotheses, making use of a matrix designed for ACH
Please note: separate sign up required to participate
17:20 Michael Kowalski: Closing Remarks Conference
17:30 End of Conference
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