Conference Celebrating the 25th Anniversary of the Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association

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NISA 25th Anniversary Conference: 1991 – 2016

Witness to CHANGE

Intelligence analysis in a changing environment

On Friday 28 and Saturday 29 October 2016 the Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association (NISA) celebrates its 25th anniversary with an inspiring two-day conference. The main theme will be the significantly changed environment of the intelligence analyst during the past 25 years. Please look for the details on the NISA website: http://www.nisa-intelligence.nl.

 

Detailed Programme

DAY 1 - 28 October, 2016

(Presentation titles subject to change)

8:00 REGISTRATION

8:45 Michael Kowalski

25 years of NISA - Reflection on a Changing World

9:25 Stephen Marrin

Intelligence Studies, Intelligence Analysis, and Intelligence Practice

10:05 Gregory Treverton

Wicked Problems

10:45 BREAK

 

CLUSTER 1: HISTORICAL RESEARCH & FUTURE PERSPECTIVE

11:15 General Onno Eichelsheim: A future perspective of Intelligence in the Netherlands

11:50 Sir David Omand: A Comparison between the Nicoll and Iraqi Reports

12:25 Shlomo Shpiro: The Devil's Advocate

13:00 LUNCH

 

CLUSTER 2: THE INTERSECTION BETWEEN COLLECTION AND PROCESSING

14:00 David Moore: Sense Making

14:35 Wilhelm Agrell: Crimea and Uncertainty

15:10 Paul Abels: Beschaffung und Auswertung.

The Sense or Nonsense of a Wall between Collection and Processing

 

15:50 CLUSTER 3: WORKING GROUP - METHODS

Cliff Lansley: To Lie or not to Lie; Criminal Behavior - more sessions to come -

Thomas Ormerod: Finding a Needle in a Haystack

17:00 BREAK

 

DEBATE SESSION

17:15 Rob Bertholee and Michael Chertoff: Intelligence liaison and the role of Small States

18:15 Michael Kowalski: Closing Remarks Day 1

18:25 End of DAY 1

 

DAY 2 - 29 October, 2016

(Presentation titles subject to change)

8:15 Conference Room open

8:40 Michael Kowalski: Opening Remarks Day 2

 

CLUSTER 4: METHODS & TECHNIQUES

8:45 Sergei Boeke: Research Methodology: Risk Analysis & Threat Analysis, the Case of Mali/Niger

9:20 Giliam de Valk: Towards the Methodology of not to Miss a Threat (the Rumsfeld Matrix)

9:55 JISTARC: System Dynamics in Operations

10:35 BREAK

 

CLUSTER 5: INTELLIGENCE IN CONTEXT

11:05 Michael Fredholm: Politicisation and Briefing the Policy Maker

11:40 Veli-Pekka Kivimäki: Research OSINT

12:15 FIU : Using Bitcoins

12:55 LUNCH

 

CLUSTER 6: INTELLIGENCE ETHICS AND DILEMMAS

13:55 Miroslav Tudjman: The Croation Intelligence Analyst and the planning of Operation Storm

14:30 Richard Aldrich: Assassination Plots and UK Premiers

15:05 Wilma van Dijk: Analysis & Collaboration in Security

 

15:45 CLUSTER 7: “ENTER THE MATRIX": A COLLABORATIVE ACH MASTERCLASS

The aim of the masterclass is to put Heuer's Analysis of Competing Hypotheses into practice.

You will get an impression of the use, and the advantages and disadvantages, of this analytic

technique.

As a participant you will generate hypotheses, and you will be presented with various pieces of

intelligence from different (types of) sources. You will then evaluate these pieces of

intelligence in relation with the hypotheses, making use of a matrix designed for ACH

Please note: separate sign up required to participate

 

17:20 Michael Kowalski: Closing Remarks Conference

17:30 End of Conference